Showing posts with label EBITDA. Show all posts
Showing posts with label EBITDA. Show all posts

Thursday, September 20, 2007

Why I Hate EBITDA - Part III

The street has slowly shifted over time to using Enterprise Value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) as a measure of valuation for a stock. The ostensible reason given is that EV/EBITDA takes into account the entire value of the firm. The real reason is that since so many companies are unprofitable, there is no "E" to put in the price to earnings formula. Wall Street had to come up with another measure to use.

So what is wrong with EV/EBITDA? It gives a false sense of cheapness – I can still hear the voice of the sell side analyst ringing in my ear

"The stock only trades at 5 times EV to EBITDA – my god that’s cheap."


But is it really cheap. Here are two companies, which one do you think is cheaper?

Company 1

Mkt Cap $ 60.0
Bond Value $ 40.0
EV $100.0
EBITDA $ 13.0

EV/EBITDA 7.7

Company 2


Mkt Cap $ 60.0
Bond Value $ -
EV $ 60.0
EBITDA $ 6.0

EV/EBITDA - 10.0

Well come on Eric, you say to me, the first one is cheaper you idiot. Well look again below.

Company 1

EBITDA $ 13.0
Interest $ 8.0
Free Cash $ 5.0

Price to FC 12.0

Company 2

EBITDA $ 6.0
Interest $ -
Free Cash $ 6.0

Price to FC 10.0

It doesn’t really matter what the EBITDA is because we all know that what really matters is the cash a business produces after it reinvests to maintain its business.

Don't be fooled by EBITDA. Wall Street hates you. Don't ever forget that their job is to separate you from your money.

Tuesday, September 18, 2007

Why I Hate EBITDA - Part II

The second reason I hate EBITDA is a behavioral one. It gives management a crutch to lean on, and causes them to focus on the wrong measures.

“Well, we grew EBITDA last quarter.”

As a shareholder and long-term investor, I want to know what true cash flow you are retaining this year after investing in your business. That’s what counts.

Many companies also create incentive programs for management based on EBITDA - again incentivizing management to engage in deviant behavior.

Friday, September 14, 2007

Why I Hate EBITDA - Part I

I said in a previous post that I was convinced that there is a special place reserved in hell for EBITDA, and that one day, God willing, it will be there. I just wanted to write a little on why I believe that.

First, for those that don’t know the term – EBITDA stands for earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization. It is used as a measure of financial performance by much of Wall Street. So why does it belong in Hell? It has many problems that are never talked about by the financial media or those who use the term.

EBITDA is calculated before interest is paid, so it gives an artificial view of the financial strength of a company. Analysts and managements love using this number, they usually put it in the headline of a press release. After that they can't leave it alone - it has to be "adjusted." How? Usually to exclude some expense that management found inconvenient.

However, at the end of the day, bondholders do need to clip their coupon every six months and get paid. Unless, of course, they were talked into buying a covenant lite or pay in kind bond.

You can bet that Worldcom and Enron had positive EBITDA...right up until the end.